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[personal profile] imomus
First there was GDP, gross domestic product, and the statisticians looked upon their work and saw that it was good. And lo, one of them said "Let us divide GDP by population, for some nations contain multitudes!" And from that day forth there was GDP per capita, and the statisticians saw that they could compare the wealth of a citizen of one country with the wealth of a citizen in any other, and they agreed that this was good.



And so, in today's Japan Times, for instance, an article entitled China as Number Three (a reference to the 1979 book Japan as Number One, now out of print) states: "China as a country is rich, but Chinese are not. GDP per capita in China was $2,800 in 2007; by contrast, in Germany, average income was $38,800. China is ranked among the bottom tier of nations by this yardstick. Chinese are proud of their country's economic accomplishments, but they also measure how the economic development has affected their own lives. The greater the economic disparities, the greater their own discontent."

And lo, the statisticians read sentences like these, and from them came a wailing and a sighing and a gnashing of teeth. How, they wondered, could they develop new indices which measured that subjective thing, well-being?



And then a voice spoke up in a podcast. It was Anil Markandya of the University of Bath, who in 2007 shared the Nobel Peace Prize for his work on climate change. Professor Markandya's lecture is a useful introduction to the new tools which are currently being developed as measures for well-being.

And lo, the adjustments Professor Markandya suggested to simple measurements of GDP did begin, it has to be said, with his own subject of special interest, sustainability. We must, he said, measure a nation's Ecological Footprint and the environmental damage it creates. We must measure Emissions Per Capita too. But, he continued, the Mac index (the cost of a Big Mac in various places, or purchasing power) is also an adjustment we should make. And so is Unemployment, and the Corruption Perception Index, Life Expectancy, Healthy Life Years, Happy Life Years, Intangible Capital (good governance, the rule of law, education), Social Capital (the network of relations and institutions that make it possible for countries to function well) and Genuine Savings (an adjustment of gross savings to reflect depletion of natural resources and pollution damages).

At this the statisticians grew restive. Many questioned the value of measuring all these intangible things and subtracting their value from the hard science of numbers, as if they were equally objective. Many found it suspicious that the proposed measures happened to tally with the agenda of the World Bank, or with certain eco-campaigns. Some said that the focus on individual nations was wrong, that only a global picture of the symbiosis between all these statistics could create an accurate model. Yet most agreed that these new tools could only increase the demand for trained statisticians, and stake a claim to new territory -- closer to the human soul! -- for their profession. It could only be a matter of time before governments published figures for Sunshine Capital, Orgasm Capital, Morality Capital, and a National War Guilt Index.



Already there were signs of this coming statistical utopia: the Osberg Sharp indicators of consumption, wealth, economic equality and future security (which nevertheless fail to show that the US is the best place to be a rich child, but for the poor child the best place is Norway), or the Human Development Index, a basket of rights and wrongs which shows all nations improving except those in Sub-Saharan Africa (the fall guy region in almost all well-being science, just as Scandinavia tends to be well-being's 800-pound gorilla).

Then there was The Gallup-Healthways Well-Being Index, which sorted Americans into those Thriving, Struggling and Suffering. Conducted in early 2008, this poll already reflected the impact of the gathering financial crisis: "Among the top 10 days with highest levels of reported negative experiences, many were days that coincided with bad news from the financial markets". The same poll, repeated a year later, would certainly show more Americans in the Struggling and Suffering categories, for old-fashioned economic reasons.



Personally, I find the statistics of well-being at its most interesting when it's most pretentious, and reaches for numbers to pin to the most nebulous and perverse impulses of the human psyche. But statisticians have a long way to go before they can match the pretentiousness and inventiveness of market researchers. It was on the occasion of our examination of Kartoffelgrafiken (potato-shaped market segmentation graphics) that we found perhaps the most useful tool yet devised for the measurement of well-being: Kumakouji's graph of Cat Ownership to Yam Appreciation.

But let us never forget the warning in the Book of Revelation: "When accountants get creative and statisticians speak like priests, then the Last Days are upon us."

come again

Date: 2009-01-27 12:16 pm (UTC)
From: (Anonymous)
like i said

(no subject)

Date: 2009-01-27 01:36 pm (UTC)
From: (Anonymous)
Well, I thought he touched on a good point, particularly that

(no subject)

Date: 2009-01-27 02:05 pm (UTC)
From: (Anonymous)
You should start up a phone bank and start polling your readers and listeners, Momus. We'll leave it to you to think of some interesting questions and how you'll then market future products to us all. Time you got a logo.

(no subject)

Date: 2009-01-27 02:35 pm (UTC)
From: [identity profile] imomus.livejournal.com
Maybe it would help if I provided an abstract for today's entry:

"New actuarial tools are emerging today which allow us to measure, in multi-factorial ways, increasingly intangible things like well-being, quality of life and sustainability. In some cases, the results from these new tools are given money values and used to adjust or correct the results from older, simpler, more purely economic measures such as GDP. The more creative and imaginative these new measures become -- and the more we assign dollar values to what are, essentially, states of the human mind and conditions of the human soul -- the more problems we're likely to have in maintaining the credibility of statistics as an objective science. The objectivisation of states of mind comes at a price: the subjectivisation of Statistics."

(no subject)

Date: 2009-01-27 02:40 pm (UTC)
From: [identity profile] krskrft.livejournal.com
What makes the GDP useful is how it measures the distribution of finite wealth. Building a similar model around the orgasm seems to miss the fact entirely that orgasms are, for all intents and purposes, an infinite commodity. This is what I love so dearly about the far-out statistical models, how they more often seem to be a form of ideological payback than anything approaching a useful measurement tool.

(no subject)

Date: 2009-01-27 03:17 pm (UTC)
From: [identity profile] imomus.livejournal.com
Yes. Creativity is good, and accountancy is good, but creative accountancy is not good. It makes statistics a branch of rhetoric.

(no subject)

Date: 2009-01-27 05:54 pm (UTC)
From: [identity profile] asmalldoor.livejournal.com
As if it weren't already?

Song

Date: 2009-01-27 07:12 pm (UTC)
From: (Anonymous)
MOMUS CURRIE.

Will you ever play 'The Guitar Lesson' at one of your future shows? Your older songs are so fucking haunting, what were you possibly thinking about when you wrote this meisterwerk?

Cheers, Brian.

Re: Song

Date: 2009-01-27 07:32 pm (UTC)
From: [identity profile] imomus.livejournal.com
I might well play it, Brian.

What I was thinking when I wrote it is pretty much spelled out here (http://imomus.livejournal.com/421538.html).

Re: Song

Date: 2009-01-27 09:58 pm (UTC)
From: (Anonymous)
Another question by another anon (is it proper anon if a name is attached to the post?)! The second picture (http://imomus.com/dstn3.jpg) you use in that blog entry, where is it from? What is it? Where can I find more?
The picture's stuck in my head ever since I've seen it.

Greetings!
-r

Re: Song

Date: 2009-01-27 10:02 pm (UTC)
From: [identity profile] imomus.livejournal.com
That's Man in a Polyester Suit by American photographer Robert Mapplethorpe.

You can find more, for instance, here (http://www.designboom.com/history/mapplethorpe.html).

Re: Song

Date: 2009-01-27 10:45 pm (UTC)
From: [identity profile] count-vronsky.livejournal.com
Have you ever seen or visited Balthus's Grand Chalet momus? (these (http://www.thepurists.net/Patrons/members/ian_s/parm2006/20b.jpg) are (http://flickr.com/photos/colodio/361944751/) the only photos I could find). I saw it once in a magazine, or maybe a documentary, and while usually grand palaces don't really grab or impress me, this one left a lasting impression. Living there with his Japanese wife seemed very close to heaven to me :)

Re: Song

Date: 2009-01-27 11:07 pm (UTC)
From: [identity profile] imomus.livejournal.com
ImageI haven't been there in person, but I have the documentary about him, filmed there, and it's an extraordinary place indeed. His widow, Countess Setsuko Klossowska de Rola, continues to live there, working as a UNESCO peace ambassador.

Re: Song

Date: 2009-01-27 11:14 pm (UTC)
From: [identity profile] imomus.livejournal.com
And this is his daughter, Harumi Klossowska de Rola, a jeweller:

Image

(no subject)

Date: 2009-01-28 06:58 am (UTC)
From: [identity profile] bugpowered.livejournal.com
miss the fact entirely that orgasms are, for all intents and purposes, an infinite commodity

Huh? Where do you live? The Playboy mansion?

(no subject)

Date: 2009-01-27 02:46 pm (UTC)
From: [identity profile] krskrft.livejournal.com
Also, what's funny about the Gallup Poll image is how it reads like an end-of-the-semester course evaluation. Did your instructor treat you with respect? Were tests related to the course material? Only society can't be denied tenure when it comes up for review!

(no subject)

Date: 2009-01-27 03:37 pm (UTC)
From: [identity profile] imomus.livejournal.com
It also looks a lot like the kind of quiz memes I see on my LiveJournal friends page!

(no subject)

Date: 2009-01-27 04:58 pm (UTC)
From: [identity profile] trufflesniffer.livejournal.com
To some extent, the more alternatives there are to GDP, and GDP-per-capita, the better. Eventually, enough metrics will be produced, and enough 'intangibles measured', that politicians will realise that relying on just one or two metrics (economic growth based on GDP, and inflation) to try to measure the 'progress' society has made towards some kind of perfect liberal democratic rationalist free-market economic ideal is utopian, naive, and dangerously myopic.
Once enough metrics like these become establish, and start to show that not everything gets 'better' or 'worse' in line with GDP-per-capita, then perhaps politicans will realise that statistics can't be relied upon as a substitute for serious thinking about the kinds of human experiences and social relationships that governments allow to flourish, and those that they attempt to inhibit. With enough metrics, I hope that blind quantitative imperialism will start to collapse in on itself, and start to reveal something a little closer to the qualia of everyday life.

I think GDP, itself, measures a very subjective intangible. After all, it became established in mainstream political discourse as it was seen an adequate proxy for 'utility' (utilitarian political philosophy's instrumentalist, rationalist version of 'well-being), because in the Nineteenth century richer nations seemed to be happier than poor nations (which were owned by rich nations), and rich people tended to be happier than poor people (who suffered occasional bouts of starvation). Ever since then, the tail seems to have been wagging the dog: GDP looks, feels, and smells a lot more 'objective' than messy, fuzzy things like happiness, contentment, well-being, ontological fulfilment and so on... and so by focusing on GDP rather than these other things, politicians can start to feel lulled into a false sense of existential comfort: thinking they know what they're doing (unlike everyone else), and that 'governing' is ultimately just a series of technical problems involving proper economic management.

(no subject)

Date: 2009-01-28 12:21 am (UTC)
From: (Anonymous)
See, I don't want the politicians to get into the business of measuring intangibles, because they might actually start to believe that it is their duty to "step in" and perform more invasive types of surgery on the public body. What real good does it do me if the government has a more subjective understanding of why I'm unhappy? If the reason falls outside of the rightful province of government, then they won't have any business with me anyway.

(no subject)

Date: 2009-01-28 12:23 am (UTC)
From: [identity profile] krskrft.livejournal.com
That was me, by the way.

(no subject)

Date: 2009-01-28 08:25 am (UTC)
From: [identity profile] trufflesniffer.livejournal.com
My view is that, by focusing on metrics like GDP, GDP per capita, inflation, employment, and unemployment, (and on making some of these numbers bigger, and others smaller) the government is already intimately involved in directing the kinds of lives citizens tend to lead because such actions are making very strong claims about what constitutes the 'good life' ("are you in employment? Do you earn over £30,000 per annum? Is your job a profession? "... and so on), and which types of lives are inherently without value ("Burn the NEET!").
By using these metrics, the government is already applying a very stringent and shrill moral philosophy as a justification for meddling in almost everyone's lives to a very large extent, but doing this so mechanically that it's blind to the normative claims such actions are performing.
My hope is that providing governments with more metrics, which purport to measure intangibles more directly, will provide to politicians 'objective' evidence that they are meddling with people's lives, and that all interventions have unintended and undesirable consequences. As a result of this then, at the very least, governments will meddle more 'knowingly', and at the most they will meddle less...

News equals fact times importance

Date: 2009-01-27 09:29 pm (UTC)
From: [identity profile] thomascott.livejournal.com
Ha! My girlfriend made a mousepad from your earlier yam/cat ownership kartoffelgrafiken.
.

(no subject)

Date: 2009-01-27 11:37 pm (UTC)
From: (Anonymous)
What is an Orange Tan Douche? Thank you.

(no subject)

Date: 2009-01-27 11:44 pm (UTC)
From: [identity profile] kumakouji.livejournal.com
I'm assuming it's someone like this:

ImageImage

But you'd need to ask Santiago (http://streetbonersandtvcarnage.com/blog/dear-street-carnage-the-hipster-paradigm/).

(no subject)

Date: 2009-01-28 01:46 am (UTC)
From: [identity profile] lord-whimsy.livejournal.com
http://www.hotchickswithdouchebags.com/

(no subject)

Date: 2009-01-28 04:25 am (UTC)
From: [identity profile] count-vronsky.livejournal.com
The Amazing Lyrebird of Australia - Unseen Footage (http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KOFy8QkNWWs&eurl)

(no subject)

Date: 2009-01-28 01:58 am (UTC)
From: [identity profile] kementari2.livejournal.com
Can't tell if you're being serious or not with that first graph. I estimate there are far more hipsters than orange tan douches, though perhaps being common is different than being mainstream?

(no subject)

Date: 2009-01-27 09:18 pm (UTC)
From: [identity profile] cap-scaleman.livejournal.com
Ah, I am off <ahref="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/list_of_countries_by_gdp_(real)_growth_rate">to Azerbaijan.

(no subject)

Date: 2009-01-27 09:42 pm (UTC)
From: [identity profile] imomus.livejournal.com
Really, to Azerbaijan (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/list_of_countries_by_gdp_(real)_growth_rate)?

(no subject)

Date: 2009-01-27 09:46 pm (UTC)
From: [identity profile] cap-scaleman.livejournal.com
Yes, with the growth rate they have it must be a great country!

A good life

Date: 2009-01-27 10:38 pm (UTC)
From: (Anonymous)
I think GDP per capita is not a bad starting point. Of course, a person should think about what it is to live a good life - where they should set their priorities - play music, eat good food, go for walks, hang out with friends. The value of those choices can be discussed internationally as we are do here and elsewhere. However, having income to afford those choices is fundamental.

(no subject)

Date: 2009-01-27 10:59 pm (UTC)

Measuring (and mapping) sustainability

Date: 2009-01-28 12:39 am (UTC)
From: [identity profile] brokenjunior.livejournal.com
I find these comparisons of ecological footprints and the human development index quite interesting:
Image
(Guess which country is meeting the minimum criteria for sustainability, according to this chart)
(Animated version here (http://oldspeak.net/hdief/index.html) -- roll over to see the countries names)