(no subject)

Date: 2004-10-09 03:06 am (UTC)
From: [identity profile] nickink.livejournal.com
Yes, a fantastic read 1 But I'm going to hace to read more about it, because some of those scores surprise me a lot and lead me to think I'm making the wrong associations with the Dimensions.

Belgium and Portugal, for example, have sky-high scores on the Uncertainty Avoidance dimension, while Jamaica is as low as 13. Jamaica also has a noticeably moderate Masculinity score.

Fascinating stuff though, and the analogies you draw with Bush are intriguing, especially the last point about 'zoning uncertainty and chaos', which seems to me very much his strategy.

It's also interesting that from this angle, kerry emerges as representing completely opposite principles, wheras the majority opinion I've encountered of 'better the devil you don't know' implies that he's perceived as cut from the same cloth in broad terms.

(no subject)

Date: 2004-10-09 03:27 am (UTC)
From: [identity profile] imomus.livejournal.com
It's traditional at election time for candidates to reach out to the other side, to win support from their rivals' followers. Kerry is doing that, pushing lots of rhetorical buttons normally associated with Republicanism -- strength, security, hunting and killing enemies, etc. (It's true he always adds a 'but', though, and after the 'but' comes the Democratic position, clearly different.) Bush, this time, is not reaching out to the Democratic base, or not doing it convincingly. He's singing to the choir. He seems to think that pleasing the narrow conservative base is enough. He seems to think that if he hammers home GOP values, the undecideds and Democrats will swing into line behind them. This is a huge miscalculation, and will lose him the election.

(no subject)

Date: 2004-10-09 03:35 am (UTC)
From: [identity profile] w-e-quimby.livejournal.com
I'm not so sure that singing to the choir is so much a disadvantage to Bush since he seems to be doing well in the polls. He may be losing Republicans, but I think he's gaining as many if not more cultural "conservatives." It's rather disgusting, really.

(no subject)

Date: 2004-10-09 04:09 am (UTC)
From: [identity profile] imomus.livejournal.com
Current electoral vote predictor (http://www.electoral-vote.com/) score: Bush 239, Kerry 280. Electoral college votes needed to win: 270.

(no subject)

Date: 2004-10-09 05:25 am (UTC)
From: [identity profile] w-e-quimby.livejournal.com
Well, yeah. Kerry is doing better now, after the debates. But Bush was up for a scary while. I was actually surprised that people were still undecided enough to switch sides as a result of watching the debates. I mean, come on. It isn't that hard to compare Bush to anybody else and see that he's a total ignoramus, even if you compare him against flip-flop Kerry.

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